The prototypes for hydrogen fueled cars are already being seen. But…
This direction for vehicles is not going to be the direction that manufacturers go. Hydrogen will get a lot of support for the next 15 years before it starts to lose its support and resources. By 2030, hydrogen fueled cars will be a novelty and not seen often.
Electric cars are the future – especially in the U.S. This is the technology that will be supported and pursued by the public and by manufacturers. So, if you’re a hydrogen fuel fan, go ahead and buy one if they ever come out at all, but plan on putting it on display or parking it when the technology although touted, falls way short of what Madison Avenue says.
By 2030, 1/3 to 1/2 the new cars on the roads will be electric and electric hybrids. Since this is only 17 years away, expect gasoline powered vehicles to still be around (1/2 to 2/3rds.) Why will they still be around? Because the economy will be such that most people won’t be able afford to buy new vehicles.
As the decade of the 2030’s closes, the economy will get better. Before then, though, I see a slow decline for the economy.
Whether the future has good times or bad, the most important time for doing something helpful is Now.
The research and development of hydrogen will increase with companies trying to find a viable role for hydrogen to serve in society, and this effort will come to a pinnacle in 2030 and then will be set aside and for the most part will be relegated to play a minor role, returning to today’s level of use – minor. It will not be developed as a widespread commercial energy source. The energy source developed in 2051-4 will not be based on hydrogen. (Added 8/10/05)
The Global Warming phenomenon will continue to increase steadily until the process of a changeover to reliance upon this new energy source beginning around 2050. As this new energy source enters into our world and is integrated into our societies, the Global Warming phenomenon will slow it’s increase, and then start diminishing to the point that the temperatures will cool, and there will be what could easily be considered a normalizing of temperatures. Those global “symptoms” of the warming process will slowly reverse and it will take from 50-70 years for the different symptoms to return to what could be considered normal, (2120-2150) (Added 11/2/05)
The drive to obtain alternative energy sources has been only a gradual pursuit in our lifetime. The dependence on oil has been “held onto” by the general populace. Here in the U.S., there will be a growing determination in a subsection of the population to look for and find alternative energy sources. This group’s efforts will become noticed as a growing economic market in the next decade (2010-2020) . This growing group will help stimulate the demand for alternative energy sources and help create a market which manufacturers will respond to. Around 2015 is when we will see a “stepped-up” level of availability of alternatives energy sources as compared to today’s availability. Although not on a mass scale, but rather on an individual fringe scale, we’ll see the beginnings with respect to alternative energy sources for the home (2013-2014), and a few workplaces (2012-2013). Some pursue this now, but we’ll see the demand step-up a level and both demand and supply will follow this stepped-up level on into the next decades. Hybrid cars will take their place in U.S. society and by 2012, will be about 10% of all the new cars sold. By 2015-2018, hybrid cars will be about 15-20% of all the cars on the road. A smaller “real” hybrid truck will emerge (testing the market demand) by 2008-2009. (Added 11/16/05)
Some Professional Sports Arenas will switch over to alternative energy sources, in the mid 2030‘s from the traditional supplied electricity to self-generated or smaller community/area generated sources taking themselves off the grid out of economic necessity. (Added 11/16/2005)